SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Detroit is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

20¢ current

40¢
25¢50¢
Apr 26, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Detroit is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Detroit

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Tampa Bay 87¢

Range

6¢-87¢

Family volume

$31K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-DET

May 26, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

19¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$31K

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 19¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
16¢750
15¢755
10¢55
9¢64
7¢9.9K
AskSize
19¢100
21¢100
22¢750
24¢750
39¢4

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Detroit is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-DET

SF Signal
SF Index
977.59
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1203.2%

IY (No)

43.7%

Adj IY

978%

CRI

5

RV

1507%

VR

4.35

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1203.2%
43.7%
Adj IY
978%
5
RV
1507%
VR
4.35
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
10.7%
LAS
0.19

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.