SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

New York M is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

8¢ current

7¢
10¢20¢30¢
May 26, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If New York M is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New York M

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

New York Y 95¢

Range

2¢-95¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-NYM

Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$176

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 12¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢794K
9¢35
8¢29
5¢38K
AskSize
12¢32
13¢372
15¢43
44¢4
48¢3

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New York M is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-NYM

SF Signal
SF Index
1436.08
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2872.2%

IY (No)

28.1%

Adj IY

1436%

CRI

10

Overround

9.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

2872.2%
28.1%
Adj IY
1436%
10
Overround
9.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.