SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Miami is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

13¢ current

+7¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 22, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Miami

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Philadelphia 72¢

Range

2¢-72¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-MIA

Jun 22, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 22, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

40¢

Spread

29¢

24h volume

$80

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 40¢

Kalshi
29¢ spread
BidSize
11¢42
9¢195
6¢500
5¢197
3¢51
AskSize
40¢256
42¢301
43¢443
44¢111
59¢4

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-MIA

SF Signal
SF Index
2229.98
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2230.0%

IY (No)

34.1%

Adj IY

2230%

CRI

8

RV

2060%

VR

2.82

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

2230.0%
34.1%
Adj IY
2230%
8
RV
2060%
VR
2.82
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
9.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.