SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

San Diego is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

38¢ current

27¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If San Diego is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

San Diego

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Milwaukee 93¢

Range

2¢-93¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-SD

Jun 23, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

40¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$525

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 40¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
25¢109
24¢1.9K
15¢4
10¢8.6K
6¢2.4K
AskSize
40¢171
41¢100
42¢489
50¢1.5K
54¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If San Diego is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-SD

SF Signal
SF Index
455.78
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

455.8%

IY (No)

171.2%

Adj IY

456%

CRI

2

RV

1093%

VR

2.76

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

455.8%
171.2%
Adj IY
456%
2
RV
1093%
VR
2.76
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
9.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.