SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Washington is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

9¢ current

+6¢
0¢10¢20¢
Apr 27, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Washington is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Washington

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Tampa Bay 85¢

Range

4¢-85¢

Family volume

$35K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-WSH

May 26, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$4K

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$35K

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 9¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
8¢1.4K
6¢2
5¢162
4¢50
3¢311
AskSize
9¢35
10¢145
34¢3
45¢379
46¢578

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Washington is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-WSH

SF Signal
SF Index
2314.27
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2644.9%

IY (No)

20.0%

Adj IY

2314%

CRI

12

RV

1792%

VR

3.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2644.9%
20.0%
Adj IY
2314%
12
RV
1792%
VR
3.69
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
10.7%
LAS
0.13

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.