Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
Tampa Bay is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.
Price history
92¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Tampa Bay is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tampa Bay
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Tampa Bay 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$29K
Identifier
KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TB
Aug 1, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$35K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$29K
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tampa Bay is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TB
Event family
Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tampa Bay 95¢
Current share
0%
Tampa Bay
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TB
New York Y
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-NYY
Atlanta
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-ATL
Boston
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-BOS
Chicago WS
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CWS
Cleveland
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CLE
Houston
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-HOU
Seattle
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-SEA
Arizona
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-AZ
San Diego
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-SD
Baltimore
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-BAL
Pittsburgh
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-PIT
Detroit
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-DET
Washington
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-WSH
New York M
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-NYM
Los Angeles A
kalshi · KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-LAA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.