Gopuff · Who will IPO
Gopuff is priced at 35¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Who will IPO.
Price history
35¢ current
Contract brief
If Gopuff confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Gopuff
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Anthropic 84¢
Range
2¢-84¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXIPO-26-GOPU
Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will IPO
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Gopuff confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXIPO-26-GOPU
Event family
Who will IPO.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Anthropic 84¢
Current share
0%
Anthropic
kalshi · KXIPO-26-ANTHROPIC
OpenAI
kalshi · KXIPO-26-OPENAI
Discord
kalshi · KXIPO-26-DISCORD
Gopuff
kalshi · KXIPO-26-GOPU
Kraken
kalshi · KXIPO-26-KRAKEN
Shein
kalshi · KXIPO-26-SHEIN
Applied Intuition
kalshi · KXIPO-26-AINTUITION
Beast Industries
kalshi · KXIPO-26-BEAS
Stripe
kalshi · KXIPO-26-STRIPE
Databricks
kalshi · KXIPO-26-DATABRICKS
Ramp
kalshi · KXIPO-26-RAMP
Skims
kalshi · KXIPO-26-SKIMS
Rippling
kalshi · KXIPO-26-RIPPLING
Anduril
kalshi · KXIPO-26-ANDURIL
Airwallex
kalshi · KXIPO-26-AIRWALLEX
Anysphere (Cursor)
kalshi · KXIPO-26-ANYSPHERE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.