Will 21 Savage be featured on Travis Scott's next album?
Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will 21 Savage be featured on Travis Scott's next album?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This illiquid market shows extreme yield asymmetry, with the Yes position offering 261% annualized return versus 76% for No, suggesting the 35¢ price may undervalue the collaboration probability given their established history.
Analysis
This illiquid market shows extreme yield asymmetry, with the Yes position offering 261% annualized return versus 76% for No, suggesting the 35¢ price may undervalue the collaboration probability given their established history. The $20 open interest and zero 24-hour volume indicate minimal trading activity, making the 9¢ spread potentially misleading as a liquidity indicator. With 260 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market has adequate time for resolution, though the low activity makes this suitable only for patient, conviction-based positions.
Resolution rules
If 21 Savage is featured on Travis Scott's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-21S yes 100