What is the current probability for "Will Future be featured on Travis Scott's next album?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 66¢ (66% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 255 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Future be featured on Travis Scott's next album?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 108.1% and 190.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Future be featured on Travis Scott's next album?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Future be featured on Travis Scott's next album?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Will Future be featured on Travis Scott's next album?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extremely thin liquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $86 open interest, making the 66¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.

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66¢

Bid/Ask 57/66¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $86·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining

KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-FUT

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extremely thin liquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $86 open interest, making the 66¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The asymmetric implied yields (106% for Yes vs. 186% for No) suggest the market is pricing in significant uncertainty about both the album's release timing and Future's involvement, with the No side offering substantially higher risk-adjusted returns. With 260 days to expiry and a wide 9¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative niche market lacking sufficient trading activity to establish a credible consensus price.

Resolution rules

If Future is featured on Travis Scott's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 108.1%

IY (No) 190.0%

Adj IY 80%

CRI 1

Overround 3.3%

LAS 0.16

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	108.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	190.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	80%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.16	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 10:09:27 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 10:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-FUT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →