Will SZA be featured on Travis Scott's next album?

Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Will SZA be featured on Travis Scott's next album?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $48 open interest, making the 445% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.

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34¢
Bid/Ask 24/34¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $48·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining
KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-SZA

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $48 open interest, making the 445% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 10¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the contract price, and the neutral regime combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 3 suggests uncertainty around album release timing—Travis Scott's next project timeline is unclear, which may explain why traders are pricing in only a 34% probability despite SZA's frequent collaborations. With 260 days to expiry, this contract has sufficient runway, but the illiquidity means any position would face significant slippage.

Resolution rules

If SZA is featured on Travis Scott's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 453.8%
IY (No) 45.3%
Adj IY 227%
CRI 3
Overround 3.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)453.8%
IY (No)45.3%
Adj IY227%
CRI3
Overround3.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:42:57 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXFEATURETRAVISSCOTT-27-SZA yes 100

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