SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 3, 2027239 days left

Will Democrats win exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas?

This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

20¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

8 3¢

Ticker

KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E12

Market snapshot

12 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Democrats win exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will Democrats win family, this outcome ranks #3 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

12

Family rank

#3 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

20¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 3, 2027

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will Democrats win

Quote range

1¢-25¢

Family leader

10 25¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E12. Family volume: .

Price history

20¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 14, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 20¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
13¢100
12¢200
8¢17
7¢75
3¢45
AskSize
20¢2.1K
21¢100
23¢200
61¢1.6K
99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has won exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E12

Event family

Will Democrats win.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

7

Highest price

10 25¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1020.7%

IY (No)

22.8%

Adj IY

236%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.3%

LAS

0.54

Regime

maker

Score

0.295

Observability

none

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1020.7%
22.8%
Adj IY
236%
7
Overround
-0.3%
LAS
0.54

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