Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC - More Markets
Leader sits at 33% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 13%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Kansas City
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
13¢
Kansas City
Spread
20pp
contested
24h volume
$962
thin orderbook
Closes
Feb 22, 2027
242 days
Venue
Kalshi
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC
Analysis
This 31% probability reflects Kansas City's odds of winning the Pro Football AFC West Division. The market is pricing in the Chiefs' established track record as division favorites, though divisional races typically remain competitive throughout the season. Kansas City's actual performance against rival teams—particularly Denver, Las Vegas, and LA Chargers—combined with injury updates and roster changes during the offseason will be primary drivers of whether this probability shifts higher or lower. The division outcome will be determined by final NFL standings at season's end, with critical data points emerging through preseason performance in August and early-season results beginning September 2026.
- ›Kansas City's historical win rate in the AFC West versus current roster composition and injury status
- ›Competitive strength of division rivals, particularly Denver and LA Chargers, based on offseason acquisitions and quarterback performance
- ›Head-to-head records and strength of schedule factors specific to divisional matchups within the 2026 season
- ›Market volume and contract pricing ($13 24h volume on the division winner contract) indicating moderate but not overwhelming trading activity
- ›Preseason indicators and Week 1-4 performance in September 2026 will generate empirical data that could significantly shift probabilities from current levels
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (33% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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