SimpleFunctions

Kansas St · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Kansas St. is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.

Price history

4¢ current

+1¢
0¢10¢
May 29, 2026Jun 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Kansas St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kansas St.

Rank

#16 of 16

Leader

Notre Dame 81¢

Range

3¢-81¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-KSU

Jun 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

Ask

14¢

Spread

11¢

24h volume

$90

Family rank

#16 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 14¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.4K
3¢5
AskSize
14¢5
15¢699
19¢499
20¢2.0K
43¢582

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kansas St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-KSU

SF Signal
SF Index
3212.18
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6424.4%

IY (No)

6.1%

Adj IY

3212%

CRI

32

Overround

9.9%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

6424.4%
6.1%
Adj IY
3212%
32
Overround
9.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.