Kelly Loeffler · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Kelly Loeffler is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
Price history
24¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Kelly Loeffler leaves as SBA Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kelly Loeffler
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Tulsi Gabbard 99¢
Range
16¢-99¢
Family volume
$19K
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLOE
May 25, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$74
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$19K
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kelly Loeffler leaves as SBA Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLOE
Event family
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tulsi Gabbard 99¢
Current share
0%
Tulsi Gabbard
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB
Kash Patel
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Amy Gleason
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-AGLE
Todd Blanche
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA
Howard Lutnick
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-HLUT
Susie Wiles
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RFK
Karoline Leavitt
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA
Sean Duffy
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SDUF
Stephen Miller
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SMIL
Scott Bessent
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SBES
Kelly Loeffler
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLOE
Steve Witkoff
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIT
Mike Huckabee
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.