SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 4, 2027519 days left

Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$806 volume
$200 liquidity
848% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$95

Best sibling

Ciro Gomes 2¢

Ticker

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RSAN

Price history

24¢ current

+18¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 28¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
24¢31
23¢32
22¢200
21¢1.0K
20¢1.0K
AskSize
28¢5
29¢200
34¢2
38¢2
62¢52

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Renan Santos finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 4, 2027

Identifier

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RSAN

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 36¢, -12¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$95

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Romeu Zema 32¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

222.8%

IY (No)

22.2%

Adj IY

93%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.17

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

222.8%
22.2%
Adj IY
93%
3
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.17

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