San Diego win at least 85 games this season
85+ wins is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will San Diego win at least.
Price history
42¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If San Diego has 85+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
85+ wins
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
75+ wins 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$735
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T85
Aug 7, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$147
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will San Diego win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$735
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If San Diego has 85+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T85
Event family
Will San Diego win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$735
Outcomes
7
Highest price
75+ wins 90¢
Current share
20%
75+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T75
80+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T80
85+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T85
105+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T105
90+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T90
95+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T95
100+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-SD-26-T100
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.