SimpleFunctions

United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 above 5.9%

Above 5.9% is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above.

Price history

74¢ current

+30¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 17, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 5.9%

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Above 5.7% 60¢

Range

2¢-60¢

Family volume

$519

Identifier

KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T5.9

Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

74¢

Spread

43¢

24h volume

$2

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Family volume

$519

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 74¢

Kalshi
43¢ spread
BidSize
100¢49
31¢21
30¢450
20¢100
AskSize
74¢24
75¢550
97¢56
98¢100
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Identifier

KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T5.9

SF Signal
SF Index
4327.35
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4327.4%

IY (No)

794.8%

Adj IY

4327%

CRI

2

RV

773%

VR

1.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4327.4%
794.8%
Adj IY
4327%
2
RV
773%
VR
1.01
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
1.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.