United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 above 7.4%
Above 7.4% is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 7.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 7.4%
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Above 5.7% 60¢
Range
2¢-60¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.4
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
15¢
Reported volume
$46
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 7.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.4
Event family
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 5.7% 60¢
Current share
0%
Above 5.7%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T5.7
Above 5.9%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T5.9
Above 5.8%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T5.8
Above 6.0%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T6.0
Above 5.6%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T5.6
Above 6.1%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T6.1
Above 6.6%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T6.6
Above 6.2%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T6.2
Above 6.8%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T6.8
Above 6.4%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T6.4
Above 7.0%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.0
Above 7.2%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.2
Above 7.6%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.6
Above 7.4%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.4
Above 8.0%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T8.0
Above 7.8%
kalshi · KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.