SimpleFunctions

United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 above 7.0%

Above 7.0% is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above.

Price history

14¢ current

+12¢
0¢25¢
Jun 11, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 7.0%

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Above 5.7% 60¢

Range

2¢-60¢

Family volume

$8

Identifier

KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.0

Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

13¢

Reported volume

$581

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Family volume

$8

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 23¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
10¢100
9¢4
AskSize
23¢25
24¢6
50¢200
79¢10
98¢41

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Identifier

KXUSPPIYOY-26JUL15-T7.0

SF Signal
SF Index
8088.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

16177.5%

IY (No)

199.7%

Adj IY

8089%

CRI

9

Overround

1.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16177.5%
199.7%
Adj IY
8089%
9
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.