2028 Democratic Primary is a Deep and Liquid Market
AOC leads a fragmented field of over 20 candidates, but high volume across long-shot candidates signals uncertainty and potential for a shift.
Key takeaways
- 01
AOC leads a fragmented field of over 20 candidates, but high volume across long-shot candidates signals uncertainty and potential for a shift.
- 02
The battle for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination is a major focus, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) leading at 19¢, followed by Jon Ossoff at 17¢ and Gavin Newsom at 14¢.
- 03
However, the market is wide open, with 20+ candidates listed, many at 0-1¢.
Full analysis
The battle for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination is a major focus, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) leading at 19¢, followed by Jon Ossoff at 17¢ and Gavin Newsom at 14¢. However, the market is wide open, with 20+ candidates listed, many at 0-1¢. The volume across these markets is immense, with the top 10 candidates alone accounting for over 600k in volume. This indicates a high level of trader interest and a narrative that is still forming. The current price suggests AOC is the frontrunner, but the large field and low prices on other high-profile candidates indicate plenty of room for a new favorite to emerge.
Related markets
Source markets at a glance
The contracts behind this dispatch — current price + 24h volume. Click any card for live orderbook data.
Zoom out
kalshi query "2028 democratic nominee"