Trump-Centric Markets Dominate Political Trading Volume
Micro-markets on Donald Trump dominate political prediction volume today, with near-certainty pricing on his World Cup attendance and specific phrases, while the 2028 Republican primary remains wide open.
Key takeaways
- 01
Micro-markets on Donald Trump dominate political prediction volume today, with near-certainty pricing on his World Cup attendance and specific phrases, while the 2028 Republican primary remains wide open.
- 02
Trump-specific markets are dominating political trading volume today.
- 03
These micro-markets on Trump's behavior are the highest-volume political contracts on Kalshi, far outpacing any specific election outcome markets.
Full analysis
Trump-specific markets are dominating political trading volume today. The top contracts revolve around his public appearances and statements: KXTRUMPATTEND trading at 90¢ (211,872 volume) strongly prices in his attendance at the 2026 World Cup Final, while KXTRUMPSAY-26JUL13-N at 99¢ on 216,786 volume shows near-certainty he will say the word 'Newscum' before July 13. These micro-markets on Trump's behavior are the highest-volume political contracts on Kalshi, far outpacing any specific election outcome markets. The sheer liquidity and tight spreads in these contracts suggest a sophisticated trader base with strong conviction. The Republican nomination markets remain thinly traded with most candidates near 0¢, indicating the primary is still wide open from a prediction market perspective despite Trump's dominant position in public polling.
Related markets
Source markets at a glance
The contracts behind this dispatch — current price + 24h volume. Click any card for live orderbook data.
Zoom out
sf book KXTRUMPATTEND