SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Atlanta is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

96¢ current

+5¢
50¢75¢100¢
May 26, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Atlanta is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Atlanta

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

New York Y 96¢

Range

3¢-96¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-ATL

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

91¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

24h volume

$120

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

91 / 96¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
91¢8
90¢575
89¢120
88¢250
84¢200
AskSize
96¢73
97¢17
98¢189
99¢3.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Atlanta is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-ATL

SF Signal
SF Index
2861.03
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

28.0%

IY (No)

2861.0%

Adj IY

2861%

CRI

10

RV

144%

VR

2.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

28.0%
2861.0%
Adj IY
2861%
10
RV
144%
VR
2.69
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
9.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.