SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

A's is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

29¢ current

11¢
25¢
May 26, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If A's is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

A's

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

New York Y 95¢

Range

2¢-95¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-ATH

Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

23¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

24h volume

$500

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 28¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
23¢5
22¢30
21¢637
20¢929
15¢52
AskSize
28¢5
29¢224
30¢7
55¢22
58¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If A's is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-ATH

SF Signal
SF Index
702.87
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

951.0%

IY (No)

84.8%

Adj IY

703%

CRI

3

RV

499%

VR

1.65

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

951.0%
84.8%
Adj IY
703%
3
RV
499%
VR
1.65
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
9.3%
LAS
0.26

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.