Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers. This contract trades at 45¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2026. This Milwaukee Brewers playoff qualifier market shows significant recent bearish momentum, dropping 14 cents over seven days from 65¢ to the current 52¢ midpoint, suggesting deteriorating odds or sentiment shift.

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45¢
Bid/Ask 43/51¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $16,567.32·Closes Nov 1, 2026·189d remaining
KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-MIL
7-day price387 snapshots · 21 regime
69¢43¢ current
Apr 842¢Apr 26

Analysis

9d ago

This Milwaukee Brewers playoff qualifier market shows significant recent bearish momentum, dropping 14 cents over seven days from 65¢ to the current 52¢ midpoint, suggesting deteriorating odds or sentiment shift. The exceptionally high implied yields (176.5% for Yes, 191.2% for No) combined with modest $12,911 open interest and thin $208.92 daily volume indicate low liquidity and potentially inflated returns that may not be achievable given the thin order book. With 199 days to expiration and a realized volatility of 204%, this market remains highly uncertain, though the neutral regime score and low cliff risk suggest no imminent catalyst is priced in.

Resolution rules

If Milwaukee is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 256.5%
IY (No) 146.0%
Adj IY 110%
CRI 1
Overround 10.5%
LAS 0.14
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)256.5%
IY (No)146.0%
Adj IY110%
CRI1
Overround10.5%
LAS0.14

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Computed
4/27/2026, 12:18:59 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 12:08:29 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-MIL yes 100

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