SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Cleveland is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

51¢ current

27¢
25¢50¢75¢
May 26, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

New York Y 95¢

Range

2¢-95¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CLE

Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

51¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

63¢

Spread

14¢

24h volume

$112

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 63¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
49¢5
48¢24
34¢200
30¢402
26¢783
AskSize
63¢10
64¢18
65¢210
72¢31
83¢110

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
295.46
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

295.5%

IY (No)

272.7%

Adj IY

295%

CRI

1

RV

1458%

VR

6.27

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

295.5%
272.7%
Adj IY
295%
1
RV
1458%
VR
6.27
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
9.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.