SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Toronto is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

43¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢
Apr 26, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Toronto is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Toronto

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

New York Y 93¢

Range

11¢-93¢

Family volume

$28K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TOR

May 26, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

43¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

44¢

Ask

46¢

Spread

24h volume

$811

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$28K

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 46¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
44¢750
43¢795
29¢6
23¢26
22¢896
AskSize
46¢1.1K
47¢750
49¢750
52¢15
59¢7

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Toronto is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TOR

SF Signal
SF Index
278.81
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

292.1%

IY (No)

180.3%

Adj IY

279%

CRI

1

RV

1100%

VR

5.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

292.1%
180.3%
Adj IY
279%
1
RV
1100%
VR
5.20
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
10.7%
LAS
0.05

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.