SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Financial prediction markets — indices, rates, FX, commodities.

3,499 Kalshi-classified live questions across 3,499 Kalshi contracts, $174,144 of 24h volume. 847 sit in coin-flip territory. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=financials.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/financials
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=financials
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 12 Oct 2026Methodology
Disagreement—
warming up — first reading at 22:15 UTC
Vol Flow$174.1K
Breadth—
warming up — first reading at 22:15 UTC
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 22:15 UTC

Live contracts

3,499

24h volume

$174.1K

# series in cat

1

curated GO series

Contested

24%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

10

Top mover

—

no 24h moves

Financials — liquidity topography (top 292 of 3,499 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour.

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d1.00.50.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Financials

1 hubs · sorted by live count
Nasdaq-100 Close-Price Bucket Markets
KXNASDAQ
12 live
audit 57

Top markets in Financials

Showing top 20 of 3,499

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 20275¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$33.4K
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: Positive Growth91¢
IY 45%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$9.2K
Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,200 to 8,399.9912¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.7K
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,800 to 7,999.9917¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.6K
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,000 to 8,199.9921¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.5K
Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,000 to 7,199.993¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.2K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $115.01 or above33¢
IY 925%Cliff 2Edge +57¢RVol —Resid —$6.3Kthesis ◆
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?: Above 57.5 million34¢
IY 547%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.3K
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?: 5,900 or below3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.3K
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $235 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?: Above $23511¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.2K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $120.01 or above24¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge +60¢RVol —Resid —$3.9Kthesis ◆
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?: Above 57 million67¢
IY 139%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.6K
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?: Above 84.5%57¢
IY 213%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.8K
Will Domino's Pizza Inc report Above 7260 total us stores in Q3 2026?: Above 726016¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.6K
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 85% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?: Above 85%23¢
IY 944%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.6K
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?: Above 56.5 million92¢
IY 25%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.4K
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 4000 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?: Above 4000 mw68¢
IY 127%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.1K
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.45 billion items sold in 2026?: Above 3.45 billion4¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.0K
Will American Express Company report Above 155.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?: Above 155.5 million69¢
IY 133%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.9K
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?: Above 83.5%93¢
IY 21%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.8K
3,499 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 12 Oct 2026 17:38:49 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=financials →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=financials →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →