SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Financial prediction markets — indices, rates, FX, commodities.

3,156 Kalshi-classified live questions across 3,156 Kalshi contracts, $174,031 of 24h volume. 989 sit in coin-flip territory. 314 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=financials.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/financials
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=financials
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 10 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$174.0K+4%
min $168.7Kmax $389.4K
Breadth2%+5.2pp
min -35%max 58%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 12:30 UTC
Aug 3past 7d · UTCAug 10 · 10:23

Live contracts

3,156

24h volume

$174.0K

# series in cat

1

curated GO series

Contested

31%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

11

Top mover

-81¢

KXH200WS-26SEP18-3.000

Financials — liquidity topography (top 412 of 3,156 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 1.6/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d30d90d365d1.60.90.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Financials

1 hubs · sorted by live count
Nasdaq-100 Close-Price Bucket Markets
KXNASDAQ
12 live
audit 57

Top markets in Financials

Showing top 20 of 3,156

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $130.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $130.01 or above17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge +54¢RVol 639%Resid —$51.9Kthesis ◆
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $150.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $150.01 or above13¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge +37¢RVol 747%Resid —$12.9Kthesis ◆
Will CAVA Group Inc. report above 476 cava restaurants in Q2 2026?: Above 47640¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$10.7K
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8599.99 by Jan 1, 2027?: 8,600 or above13¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$9.2K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $115.01 or above30¢
IY 594%Cliff 2Edge +59¢RVol 370%Resid —$8.7Kthesis ◆
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 18,999.99 or below6¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.2K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $135.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $135.01 or above14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge +49¢RVol 455%Resid —$5.1Kthesis ◆
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8199.99 by Jan 1, 2027?: 8,200 or above28¢
IY 652%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 839%Resid —$4.0K
Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 202712¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.1K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $160.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $160.01 or above9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge +30¢RVol >999%Resid —$2.9Kthesis ◆
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,000 to 8,199.9911¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.7K
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.80 million subscribers in Q2 2026?: Above 2.80 million71¢
IY 639%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 857%Resid —$2.4K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $200.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $200.01 or above8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge +17¢RVol —Resid —$2.0Kthesis ◆
Will the NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.4 at 4 PM ET on Sep 04?: Above $0.4091¢
IY 143%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.7K
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?: 8,000 or above68¢
IY 119%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 219%Resid —$1.6K
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?: 6,300 or below23¢
IY 849%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.5K
Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: Positive Growth84¢
IY 48%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.5K
Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Oct 1, 2026?: Before Oct 202645¢
IY 864%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 527%Resid —$1.4K
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.76 million subscribers in Q2 2026?: Above 2.76 million82¢
IY 343%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 654%Resid —$1.3K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $120.01 or above22¢
IY 903%Cliff 4Edge +61¢RVol 301%Resid —$1.3Kthesis ◆
3,156 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Financials

From market_changes
14h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.00
1¢82→1 (-81)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.00
82¢1→82 (+81)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.00
1¢82→1 (-81)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.00
82¢1→82 (+81)
open →
22h agoKalshi
Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3425 total number of car shipments in Q3 2026?: Above 3425
87¢11→87 (+76)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3425 total number of car shipments in Q3 2026?: Above 3425
14¢87→14 (-73)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.50
1¢73→1 (-72)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Sep 18?: Above $3.50
73¢1→73 (+72)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 10 Aug 2026 12:08:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=financials →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=financials →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →