SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Financial prediction markets — indices, rates, FX, commodities.

1,466 Kalshi-classified live questions across 1,466 Kalshi contracts, $270,134 of 24h volume. 464 sit in coin-flip territory. 1,039 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=financials.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/financials
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=financials
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 25 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$270.1K+17%
min $100.7Kmax $315.6K
Breadth1%-5.4pp
min -24%max 24%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 10:30 UTC
Jun 18past 7d · UTCJun 25 · 10:23

Live contracts

1,466

24h volume

$270.1K

# series in cat

1

curated GO series

Contested

32%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

3

Top mover

+94¢

KXB200WS-26JUL03-3.000

Financials — liquidity topography (top 416 of 1,466 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 2.6/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d2.61.40.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Financials

1 hubs · sorted by live count
Nasdaq-100 Close-Price Bucket Markets
KXNASDAQ
34 live
audit 57

Top markets in Financials

Showing top 20 of 1,466

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?: Above 3.25 million96¢
IY 2.4%Cliff 24Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$10.5K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $115.01 or above30¢
IY 450%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 443%Resid —$9.5K
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $70 by Dec 31, 2026?: 69.99 or below94¢
IY 12%Cliff 16Edge -11¢RVol 213%Resid —$6.4Kthesis ◆
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.84 million subscribers in 2026?: Above 2.84 million93¢
IY 4.3%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.7K
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.15 million passengers carried in 2026?: Above 3.15 million97¢
IY 1.8%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.1K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $140.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $140.01 or above14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.4K
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 29000 at the end of Jun 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 28,999.99 or below10¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.4K
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.2 million passengers carried in 2026?: Above 3.2 million97¢
IY 1.8%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.4K
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?: Above 150000094¢
IY 3.6%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.2K
Will Match Group Inc. report Above 13.8 million total payers in 2026?: Above 13.8 million3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.1K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $125.01 or above26¢
IY 549%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 399%Resid —$4.1K
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $150.01 by Dec 31, 2026?: $150.01 or above12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 989%Resid —$4.1K
Will Match Group Inc. report Above 12.4 million total payers in 2026?: Above 12.4 million97¢
IY 1.8%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.1K
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,000 to 8,199.9912¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.1K
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 33,000.01 or above31¢
IY 429%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 426%Resid —$4.0K
Will NVIDIA Corporation report above 46000 total employees in 2027?: Above 4600084¢
IY 11%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.8K
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $50 by Dec 31, 2026?: 49.99 or below7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.7K
Will the S&P 500 be between 7275 and 7299.9999 on Jun 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 7,275 to 7,299.99993¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$3.5K
Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?: Above 3 billion95¢
IY 3.0%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.3K
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 40000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?: Above 4000095¢
IY 3.0%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$3.2K
1,466 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Financials

From market_changes
1h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Jul 03?: Above $3.00
95¢1→95 (+94)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Jul 03?: Above $3.00
1¢95→1 (-94)
open →
1h agoKalshi
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in July 2026?: Above $3.00
94¢1→94 (+93)
open →
1h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Jul 10?: Above $3.00
94¢1→94 (+93)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $3 at 4 PM ET on Jul 10?: Above $3.00
1¢94→1 (-93)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in July 2026?: Above $3.00
1¢94→1 (-93)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Will the NVIDIA B200 compute per hour price be above $3.5 at 4 PM ET on Jul 03?: Above $3.50
1¢92→1 (-91)
open →
21h agoKalshi
Will the USD/BRL exchange rate reach 5.1999 by Jun 30, 2026?: 5.2 or above
96¢5→96 (+91)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 25 Jun 2026 10:08:41 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=financials →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=financials →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →