Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty · Will legislation
Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
6¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
DEFIANCE Act 25¢
Range
1¢-25¢
Family volume
$653
Identifier
KXBILLS-BRAGG
Jul 13, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$238
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$653
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-BRAGG
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$653
Outcomes
16
Highest price
DEFIANCE Act 25¢
Current share
37%
DEFIANCE Act
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JAWBONE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-26-JAWB
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kalshi · KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
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kalshi · KXBILLS-EVFEE
Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
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$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
kalshi · KXBILLS-BRAGG
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
Dignity Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DIGNITY
Data center utility cost protection
kalshi · KXBILLS-DATA
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.