College sports federalization · Will legislation
College sports federalization is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
28¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
College sports federalization
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Housing for the 21st Century Act 76¢
Range
5¢-76¢
Family volume
$190
Identifier
KXBILLS-NIL
Jun 7, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$75
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$190
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules has become law after Issuance and before after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-NIL
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$190
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Housing for the 21st Century Act 76¢
Current share
0%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-HOUS
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kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
Critical-minerals stockpile
kalshi · KXBILLS-MIN
Export-control chip security
kalshi · KXBILLS-CHIP
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
kalshi · KXBILLS-FISA
College sports federalization
kalshi · KXBILLS-NIL
Film/TV production expensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-TV
AI-chip export licensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
SHOWER Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-SHOW
Data center utility cost protection
kalshi · KXBILLS-DATA
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
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Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
kalshi · KXBILLS-SMITH
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday
kalshi · KXBILLS-DJTB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.