JAWBONE Act · Will legislation
JAWBONE Act is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
28¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications has become law after Issuance and before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
JAWBONE Act
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Housing for the 21st Century Act 99¢
Range
4¢-99¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXBILLS-26-JAWB
Jun 23, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$619
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications has become law after Issuance and before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-26-JAWB
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Housing for the 21st Century Act 99¢
Current share
0%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-HOUS
DEFIANCE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
Railway safety bill
kalshi · KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Insulin cost cap
kalshi · KXBILLS-26JUN-INSULIN
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
kalshi · KXBILLS-ADSB
Jewish American security
kalshi · KXBILLS-JSEC
JAWBONE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-26-JAWB
Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-HRCA
AI-chip export licensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
NO FAKES Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-FAKES
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
kalshi · KXBILLS-FISA
$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
SELF DRIVE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DRIVE
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.