Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions · Will legislation
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
69¢ current
+50¢Contract brief
If legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions 70¢
Range
1¢-70¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXBILLS-BBAC
Sep 6, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-BBAC
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions 70¢
Current share
0%
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
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Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.