SimpleFunctions

Miami (FL) · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Miami (FL) is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.

Price history

71¢ current

+4¢
70¢
May 22, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami (FL) is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Miami (FL)

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Miami (FL) 66¢

Range

1¢-66¢

Family volume

$826

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MIA

Jun 21, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

71¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

71¢

Spread

24h volume

$14

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$826

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 71¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
66¢92
64¢50
62¢100
30¢360
26¢2
AskSize
71¢4
72¢106
73¢5.0K
77¢1
78¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami (FL) is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MIA

SF Signal
SF Index
171.24
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

98.3%

IY (No)

370.6%

Adj IY

171%

CRI

2

Overround

9.2%

LAS

0.08

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

98.3%
370.6%
Adj IY
171%
2
Overround
9.2%
LAS
0.08

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.