Will West Virginia win at least 2 games this season

The yield curve presents a flat structure across all 562 constituent markets, with every market sharing an identical 117-day tenor. Within this single tenor bucket, probabilities display substantial dispersion rather than a traditional curve shape. The cheapest YES probabilities cluster around 1-2%, appearing across multiple markets including KXNCAAFWINS-26ALA-12, KXNCAAFWINS-26ARK-10, KXNCAAFWINS-26AUB-11, KXNCAAFWINS-26BAY-10, and the entire KXNCAAFWINS-26BC family (26BC-10, 26BC-11, 26BC-12, 26BC-9, 26BC-7). The richest probabilities reach 96% at KXNCAAFWINS-26BSU-4, with most high-probability markets trading between 66-87%. This wide probability range—from 1% to 96%—within a single tenor suggests the dispersion reflects differences in underlying event conditions rather than time-value dynamics. The flat tenor structure indicates the market views the event resolution as binary and imminent, with no meaningful differentiation between near-term and slightly-longer-term outcomes. The substantial probability variation across markets at identical tenors reveals that traders are pricing distinct conditional outcomes or regional/categorical variations within the KXNCAAFWINS event family. Markets with 80%+ probabilities (BSU-4 at 96%, ASU-4 at 85%, ALA-7 at 87%, ARIZ-5 at 83%, BAY-4 at 83%) suggest high confidence in specific event scenarios, while the 1