Above 12% · How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above
Above 12% is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above.
Price history
21¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 12%, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 12%
Rank
#7 of 10
Leader
Above 5% 83¢
Range
2¢-83¢
Family volume
$20
Identifier
KXU3MAX-30-12
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#7 of 10
10 outcomes · How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above
Closes
Jan 4, 2030
Family volume
$20
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 12%, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 4, 2030
Identifier
KXU3MAX-30-12
Event family
How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above 5% 83¢
Current share
5%
Above 5%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-5
Above 6%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-6
Above 7%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-7
Above 8%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-8
Above 9%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-9
Above 10%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-10
Above 12%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-12
Above 15%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-15
Above 17%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-17
Above 20%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-30-20
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.