How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that How high will unemployment get before 2030?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Kalshi, closing January 4, 2030.

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52¢
Bid/Ask 44/52¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $797·Closes Jan 4, 2030·1354d remaining
KXU3MAX-30-9
7-day price18 snapshots · 3 regime
49¢44¢ current
Apr 841¢Apr 17

Resolution rules

If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 9%, the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 34.3%
IY (No) 21.2%
Adj IY 14%
CRI 1
Overround 3.1%
LAS 0.18
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)34.3%
IY (No)21.2%
Adj IY14%
CRI1
Overround3.1%
LAS0.18

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 10:32:14 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 10:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXU3MAX-30-9 yes 100

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