SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Chicago WS is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

66¢ current

+19¢
50¢
Jul 11, 2026Aug 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Chicago WS is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Chicago WS

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Tampa Bay 97¢

Range

2¢-97¢

Family volume

$16K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CWS

Aug 10, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

68¢

Ask

69¢

Spread

24h volume

$594

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$16K

Orderbook snapshot

68 / 69¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
68¢30
67¢21
66¢11
65¢8
64¢2.1K
AskSize
69¢20
70¢422
71¢400
75¢32
80¢165

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Chicago WS is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-CWS

SF Signal
SF Index
921.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

207.2%

IY (No)

935.5%

Adj IY

922%

CRI

2

RV

338%

VR

1.95

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

207.2%
935.5%
Adj IY
922%
2
RV
338%
VR
1.95
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
8.1%
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.