SimpleFunctions

Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Toronto is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers.

Price history

67¢ current

+28¢
25¢50¢
May 23, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Toronto is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Toronto

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Milwaukee 92¢

Range

6¢-92¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TOR

Jun 23, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

45¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

21¢

24h volume

$26

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 66¢

Kalshi
21¢ spread
BidSize
45¢50
44¢985
42¢111
29¢4
22¢641
AskSize
66¢84
69¢672
70¢100
71¢4
77¢35

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Toronto is one of the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBPLAYOFFS-26-TOR

SF Signal
SF Index
338.94
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

338.9%

IY (No)

226.9%

Adj IY

339%

CRI

1

RV

192%

VR

1.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

338.9%
226.9%
Adj IY
339%
1
RV
192%
VR
1.02
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
9.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.