Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 68¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 67¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Democrats, 1+ pts 83¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P5
Price history
68¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
67 / 68¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P5
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Democrats, 1+ pts 83¢
Current share
—
Democrats, 5+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P5
Democrats, 1+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P1
Democrats, 3+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P3
Democrats, 7+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P7
Democrats, 9+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P9
Democrats, 11+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P11
Democrats, 13+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P13
Democrats, 15+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P15
Democrats, 17+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P17
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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