Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$75
Best sibling
Republicans, 3+ pts 9¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P1
Price history
12¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P1
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$75
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Republicans, 1+ pts 11¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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