Election 2026: House Lean Dem
Democrats 84¢ to win House, Senate tossup. Texas Senate race dead even at 50¢. Ohio Senate leans Dem (54¢). Michigan Senate very close (61¢ D vs 38¢ R).
Cross-market probability snapshot
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party
84¢Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?: Sherrod Brown
53¢Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?: Ken Paxton
51¢Each row is a contract priced as a YES probability. Bars are tinted emerald in the >50% band, zinc otherwise. Hover or open in /markets for live orderbook data.
Key takeaways
- 01
Democrats 84¢ to win House, Senate tossup.
- 02
Texas Senate race dead even at 50¢.
- 03
Ohio Senate leans Dem (54¢).
Full analysis
CONTROLH-2026-D at 84¢ with 16.7k volume. TX Senate race at 50¢. Ohio Senate D at 54¢. These are key battlegrounds to monitor as midterms approach.
Related markets
Source markets at a glance
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Zoom out
Watch polling changes in Ohio and Texas Senate races.