SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

World Prediction Markets

Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under World. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “World”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

52

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in World

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.

ContractPrice
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?: Alaska[K]
52¢
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?: At least 450[K]
6¢
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?: Before 2027[K]
34¢
Will Donald Trump visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?: Donald Trump[K]
10¢
Will Miguel Díaz‑Canel visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?: Miguel Díaz‑Canel[K]
3¢
Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?: Colorado[K]
36¢
Will Bank of Canada Cut rates by >25bps at their June 2026 meeting?: Cut >25bps[K]
3¢
Will any country join the EU by 2030?: Any country[K]
71¢
Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?: New England[K]
90¢
Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?: New York[K]
91¢
Will Elon Musk visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?: Elon Musk[K]
11¢
Will Bank of Canada Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?: Maintains rate[K]
6¢
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?: Mars[K]
7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?: Benjamin Netanyahu[K]
3¢
Will Bank of Canada Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting?: Maintains rate[K]
92¢
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?: Israel[K]
9¢
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?: Philippines[K]
6¢
Will Pope Leo XIV visit South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027?: South Sudan[K]
10¢
Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?: USA[K]
3¢
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?: Ukraine[K]
8¢

Showing top 20 of 52 markets in this hub.

Other categories

Sports(9,842)Elections(9,340)Entertainment(2,951)Economics(2,006)Politics(1,089)Commodities(552)Climate and Weather(439)Mentions(431)

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.

Per-question aggregates

Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →

Filter and explore

IY, CRI, τ, RV/VR/IAR cuts on every active market. /screen →

Per-venue view

All markets on a single exchange. /markets/venue/kalshi →