Jewish American security · Will legislation
Jewish American security is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will legislation.
Price history
22¢ current
−11¢Contract brief
If legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jewish American security
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions 81¢
Range
3¢-81¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXBILLS-JSEC
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$750
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Will legislation
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBILLS-JSEC
Event family
Will legislation.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions 81¢
Current share
19%
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
kalshi · KXBILLS-BBAC
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
kalshi · KXBILLS-ADSB
Export-control chip security
kalshi · KXBILLS-CHIP
AI-chip export licensing
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIO
Jewish American security
kalshi · KXBILLS-JSEC
Critical-minerals stockpile
kalshi · KXBILLS-MIN
DEFIANCE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-DEFY
College sports federalization
kalshi · KXBILLS-NIL
Railway safety bill
kalshi · KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
Insulin cost cap
kalshi · KXBILLS-26JUN-INSULIN
JAWBONE Act
kalshi · KXBILLS-26-JAWB
$2.50 Coin
kalshi · KXBILLS-250C
White House ballroom funding
kalshi · KXBILLS-BALL
Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
kalshi · KXBILLS-BRAGG
Trump Airport
kalshi · KXBILLS-AIRP
Credit-card routing competition
kalshi · KXBILLS-CCR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.