Will Tim Sharfman be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 7% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
7%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1K
9 contracts
Top contract
14¢
$1K · Kalshi
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Dan "Big Cat" Katz be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Cluster 2
Will James Bordeaux be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Cluster 3
Will Brandon Wigen be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Cluster 4
Will Jack Rooney be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Will Jack Rooney be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game?: Jack Rooney
KXCOORDANNOUNCE-AKRON26-JROO
Cluster 5
Will Mike Beck Jr. be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Cluster 6
Will Martin Alan Whims II be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Cluster 7
Will Steve Moyer be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Will Steve Moyer be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game?: Steve Moyer
KXCOORDANNOUNCE-AKRON26-SMOY
Cluster 8
Will Sean Struncius be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Cluster 9
Will Tim Sharfman be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game
Will Tim Sharfman be selected to be Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game?: Tim Sharfman
KXCOORDANNOUNCE-AKRON26-TSHA
Analysis
This represents the likelihood that Tim Sharfman will be selected as Akron's Offensive Coordinator of the Game by the end of the 2026 football season. The 5% probability suggests limited market confidence in Sharfman relative to other candidates, particularly Dan "Big Cat" Katz who trades at 16 cents. The market is pricing in uncertainty about coaching staff selections for Akron's upcoming games. Key drivers of this probability include Sharfman's current employment status, his prior coaching experience, and whether Akron's coaching staff undergoes changes during the season. Resolution will occur when Akron formally announces its offensive coordinator selection, likely following the end of their 2026 regular season in November or December 2026. Market participants appear to be evaluating candidates based on publicly available coaching history and current organizational structure.
- ›Tim Sharfman's current coaching position and availability relative to Akron's offensive coordinator role
- ›Comparison of Sharfman's coaching credentials against other candidates like Dan Katz, who trades at significantly higher odds
- ›Current composition and stability of Akron's coaching staff heading into the 2026 season
- ›Historical pattern of Akron's offensive coordinator selections and any stated hiring preferences
- ›Timing and announcement of coaching staffing decisions, typically occurring during or after the regular season
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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