What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Leader sits at 95% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 93%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Enterprise
Outcomes
12
winner-take-all
Runner-up
93¢
Contact Center
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$171
thin orderbook
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Kalshi
12 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Zoom Phone
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-ZOOM
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Scribe
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-SCRI
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Enterprise
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-ENTE
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Federal
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-FEDE
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: System of Action
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-SYST
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Zoom Doc
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-ZOOM2
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Workvivo
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-WORK
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Contact Center
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-CONT
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Churn
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-CHUR
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Agentic
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-AGEN
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: AI Companion
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-AICO
What will Zoom Communications, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: My Note
KXEARNINGSMENTIONZM-26AUG25-MYNO
Analysis
This probability estimates that Zoom will mention customer churn as a significant topic during their next earnings call, with markets pricing this at 67%. Churn has become increasingly relevant given competition from Teams and market saturation in videoconferencing. The probability reflects recent trading activity, with Contact Center and Enterprise initiatives trading similarly high, suggesting investors expect multiple product developments to be discussed. Key drivers include whether Zoom's customer retention has stabilized or deteriorated, and whether management proactively addresses competitive pressures. The earnings call itself—typically scheduled within 30-45 days of quarter-end—represents the direct resolution event. Traders are essentially betting on management's candor about subscriber trends and whether churn will be highlighted as a concern or downplayed in favor of growth narratives around AI and diversification.
- ›Zoom's actual customer churn rate in the most recent quarter relative to historical levels and analyst expectations
- ›Whether recent product launches (AI Companion, Contact Center) show sufficient traction to offset core videoconferencing market saturation
- ›Management's strategic messaging choice: emphasizing growth initiatives versus addressing retention challenges
- ›Trading volume concentration on Contact Center (60¢) and Enterprise (60¢) versus Churn (67¢) suggests overlapping expectations about multiple topics
- ›Timing of the earnings call and whether it follows a period of negative analyst sentiment or activist investor pressure regarding user retention
What moved the line
- Aug 20Contact Center↑53pp40→93¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20AI Companion↑45pp37→82¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20My Note↑38pp14→52¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20Enterprise↑31pp62→93¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 20Zoom Phone↑19pp64→83¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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