Will Doja Cat be featured on Ariana Grande's album titled 'petal'

30-day trend

Analysis

This prediction asks whether Doja Cat will appear on Ariana Grande's upcoming album 'petal.' At 42%, the market suggests roughly even odds but slight skepticism about a collaboration. The probability reflects that while both artists are commercially active—Grande is expected to release new music and potentially achieve chart success this year—no announcement of Doja Cat's involvement has been made public. The main upward pressure comes from both artists' established history of collaborations and their overlapping fanbases. Downward pressure stems from the absence of any confirmed partnership and the album's presumably near-complete production status. The resolution hinges on the 'petal' album's official release and tracklist, which would definitively confirm or deny Doja Cat's participation. Until then, the market is pricing in moderate uncertainty around whether these two artists will connect on this particular project.

• ›No official announcement or leak has surfaced confirming Doja Cat on the 'petal' tracklist as of early May 2026
• ›Ariana Grande's market probability of #1 album status (93¢) suggests strong anticipated album performance, but does not confirm specific features
• ›Doja Cat's 95¢ probability of Met Gala 2026 attendance indicates she remains a visible public figure, supporting feasibility of a high-profile collaboration
• ›The timeline for 'petal' release remains unspecified; unknown proximity to release date affects likelihood of surprise features versus pre-announced collaborations
• ›Both artists have collaborated with multiple partners across recent projects, making cross-artist features common but not guaranteed for any specific album

What moved the line

• Jun 21Metro Boomin↓39pp44→5¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 20The Weeknd↓32pp45→13¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 24Billie Eilish↑24pp19→43¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 23Lil Baby↑21pp19→40¢ · Kalshi
• Jun 22Metro Boomin↑21pp5→26¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in entertainment

• Will Winds of Winter be announced?last 11% · 1d
• Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awardslast 44% · 7d
• Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?: 350k-400klast 87% · 7d
• Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026last 72% · 7d
• Highest grossing movie in 2026last 60% · 7d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds