Will Drew Burress be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 58% across 19 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
58%
19 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$5K
19 contracts
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
11 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
14 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Jacob Lombard be a top” vs “Will Eric Booth Jr. be a top”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Jacob Lombard be a top
Cluster 2
Will Eric Booth Jr. be a top
Cluster 3
Will Vahn Lackey be a top
Cluster 4
Will Grady Emerson be a top
Cluster 5
Will Jackson Flora be a top
Cluster 6
Will Chris Hacopian be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Chris Hacopian be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Chris Hacopian
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-CHAC
Cluster 7
Will Tyler Bell be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Tyler Bell be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Tyler Bell
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-TBEL
Cluster 8
Will Drew Burress be a top 5 draft pick in 2026
Will Drew Burress be a top 5 draft pick in 2026?: Drew Burress
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-5-DBUR
Cluster 9
Will Gio Rojas be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Gio Rojas be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Gio Rojas
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-GROJ
Cluster 10
Will Ryder Helfrick be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Ryder Helfrick be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Ryder Helfrick
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-RHEL
Cluster 11
Will Zion Rose be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Zion Rose be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Zion Rose
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-ZROS
Cluster 12
Will Derek Curiel be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Derek Curiel be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Derek Curiel
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-DCUR
Cluster 13
Will Trevor Condon be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Will Trevor Condon be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Trevor Condon
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-10-TCON
Cluster 14
Will Roch Cholowsky be a top 5 draft pick in 2026
Will Roch Cholowsky be a top 5 draft pick in 2026?: Roch Cholowsky
KXMLBDRAFTTOP-26-5-RCHO
Analysis
This market estimates a 51% probability that Drew Burress will be selected in the top 10 of the 2026 NFL Draft. The near-even odds suggest uncertainty about whether he'll maintain his current projection or slip further down the board. Burress's final position depends on his performance during the remainder of the pre-draft process, including any remaining workouts, interviews, and medical evaluations conducted by NFL teams. The 2026 NFL Draft, scheduled for late April 2026, will resolve this question definitively. Teams' final draft decisions are driven by their specific needs, board rankings, and trade activity on draft day, making prediction challenging when probabilities are balanced this closely.
- ›Drew Burress's performance metrics and film evaluation compared to other quarterback and skill position prospects in the 2026 class
- ›Results from NFL Combine testing, Pro Days, and any private workouts conducted in the months leading to the draft
- ›Trade activity and team positioning in the top 10, which determines how many available picks exist and what positions teams prioritize
- ›Medical evaluations and any injury history or concerns that could cause teams to downgrade or pass on Burress
- ›Declared intentions of teams holding top-10 picks regarding their draft priorities and publicly available mock draft consensus
What moved the line
- Jul 5Jacob Lombard↓55pp84→29¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 7Jacob Lombard↑54pp32→86¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 5Tyler Bell↓46pp58→12¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 5Grady Emerson↑37pp46→83¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 5Vahn Lackey↓29pp93→64¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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