Will De'Aaron Fox record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 70% across 8 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
70%
8 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$9K
8 contracts
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
13 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
6 clusters across 8 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Jalen Brunson record
Will Jalen Brunson record 2+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Jalen Brunson: 2+ made three pointers in every game of the series
KXNBA3PTALLGAMES-26NYKSASFIN2-NYKJBRUNSON11
Will Jalen Brunson record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Jalen Brunson: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series
KXNBA3PTALLGAMES-26NYKSASFIN1-NYKJBRUNSON11
Cluster 2
Will OG Anunoby record
Will OG Anunoby record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OG Anunoby: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series
KXNBA3PTALLGAMES-26NYKSASFIN1-NYKOANUNOBY8
Will OG Anunoby record 2+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OG Anunoby: 2+ made three pointers in every game of the series
KXNBA3PTALLGAMES-26NYKSASFIN2-NYKOANUNOBY8
Cluster 3
Will Victor Wembanyama record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Cluster 4
Will Julian Champagnie record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Cluster 5
Will Devin Vassell record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Will Devin Vassell record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Devin Vassell: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series
KXNBA3PTALLGAMES-26NYKSASFIN1-SASDVASSELL24
Cluster 6
Will Stephon Castle record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
Will Stephon Castle record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Stephon Castle: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series
KXNBA3PTALLGAMES-26NYKSASFIN1-SASSCASTLE5
Analysis
This market asks whether De'Aaron Fox will make at least one three-pointer in every game of the Finals series between New York and San Antonio. At 24%, it reflects skepticism that any player maintains consistent three-point production across an entire playoff series. The probability depends primarily on series length (best-of-7 means more games to avoid going scoreless from three) and Fox's role in the Knicks' offensive system. For context, related markets show Victor Wembanyama at 41% for the same threshold, suggesting expectations differ significantly by player. The series outcome itself, currently underway or imminent, will determine which games actually occur and whether Fox maintains the required consistency throughout.
- ›De'Aaron Fox's historical three-point frequency during the 2025-26 regular season and prior playoff performance
- ›Whether the series extends to 6 or 7 games versus concluding in 4 or 5, directly affecting total opportunities for Fox to miss the threshold
- ›Fox's role and minutes in New York's Finals offensive scheme and whether defensive focus from San Antonio affects his shooting opportunities
- ›The comparative market prices for similar players (Wembanyama at 41%, Towns at 23% for 1+ makes) suggesting Fox is priced as lower probability than some peers
- ›Historical data on whether any NBA guard typically makes three-pointers in every single Finals game across multiple contests
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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