SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Crypto prediction markets — Kalshi vs Polymarket on every contract.

286 Kalshi-classified live questions across 286 Kalshi contracts, $544,475 of 24h volume. 32 sit in coin-flip territory. 184 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=crypto.

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 22 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$544.5K-42%
min $160.2Kmax $1.2M
Breadth0%-25.8pp
min -50%max 71%
Activity
warming up — first reading at 05:00 UTC
Jun 15past 7d · UTCJun 22 · 04:23

Live contracts

286

24h volume

$544.5K

# series in cat

0

curated GO series

Contested

11%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

3

Top mover

+83¢

KXSOLD-26JUN2617-T68.9999

Crypto — liquidity topography (top 176 of 286 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 3.0/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d30d90d3.01.60.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Crypto

Showing top 20 of 286

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $64,000 or above52¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge RVol 585%Resid $56.6K
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $57500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?: Below $57,500.0013¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge RVol 475%Resid $36.6K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $66,500 or above19¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $26.5K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $64,500 or above44¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge RVol 654%Resid $25.1K
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $52500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?: Below $52,500.00
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge RVol Resid $23.7K
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $75000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?: Above $75,000.00
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol >999%Resid $23.4K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $63,500 or above59¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge RVol 558%Resid $22.9K
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?: Above $200000
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge RVol Resid $21.9K
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $55000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?: Below $55,000.00
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge RVol Resid $20.0K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $61,500 or above80¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge RVol 307%Resid $18.8K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $61,000 or above85¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge RVol 244%Resid $15.8K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $60,000 or above90¢
IY 866%Cliff 9Edge RVol 161%Resid $15.2K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $65,000 or above37¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge RVol 801%Resid $14.2K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $68,000 or above
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge RVol >999%Resid $14.2K
Ethereum price at Jun 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1,690 or above68¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge RVol 458%Resid $12.5K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $63,000 or above65¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge RVol 459%Resid $12.0K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $69,500 or above
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol >999%Resid $10.5K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $65,500 or above29¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge RVol 949%Resid $8.2K
Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?: Below $40,000.0030¢
IY 441%Cliff 2Edge RVol 277%Resid $6.6K
Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $59,000 or above93¢
IY 587%Cliff 13Edge RVol 112%Resid $6.5K
286 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Crypto

From market_changes

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 22 Jun 2026 04:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=crypto

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=crypto

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →