SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Crypto prediction markets — Kalshi vs Polymarket on every contract.

171 Kalshi-classified live questions across 171 Kalshi contracts, $331,389 of 24h volume. 24 sit in coin-flip territory. 32 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=crypto.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/crypto
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=crypto
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 23 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$331.4K+184%
min $110.2Kmax $1.7M
Breadth33%+133.3pp
min -100%max 33%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 22:30 UTC
Aug 16past 7d · UTCAug 23 · 20:23

Live contracts

171

24h volume

$331.4K

# series in cat

0

curated GO series

Contested

14%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+19¢

KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOGE

Crypto — liquidity topography (top 97 of 171 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 1.3/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d30d90d1.30.80.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Crypto

Showing top 20 of 171

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?: Above $2000004¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$67.6K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 55,000 to 59,999.996¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$32.6K
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?: 50,000 first26¢
IY 797%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 838%Resid —$27.5K
Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?: Below $55,000.0033¢
IY 569%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 242%Resid —$17.2K
Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?: Before January 202722¢
IY 993%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 471%Resid —$16.3K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 75,000 to 79,999.9912¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 719%Resid —$12.6K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 80,000 to 84,999.9911¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol 753%Resid —$11.3K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 50,000 to 54,999.993¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$10.8K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 60,000 to 64,999.996¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$10.6K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 100,000 to 104,999.993¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$10.5K
Will Bitcoin be below $45000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?: Below $45,000.0018¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 371%Resid —$9.3K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 150,000 or above3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.5K
Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?: Below $50,000.0024¢
IY 887%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 300%Resid —$7.9K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 85,000 to 89,999.9910¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.7K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 95,000 to 99,999.995¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.1K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 70,000 to 74,999.9910¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol 835%Resid —$7.0K
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?: 90,000 to 94,999.997¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$6.6K
Will Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?: Above $149,999.996¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.8K
Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?: Below $40,000.0014¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 429%Resid —$5.1K
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?: Above $99,999.9926¢
IY 797%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 316%Resid —$4.7K
171 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Crypto

From market_changes
22h agoKalshi
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Dogecoin (DOGE)
25¢6→25 (+19)
open →
9h agoKalshi
HYPE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $45.0000 - $49.9999
12¢1→12 (+11)
open →
3h agoKalshi
HYPE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $45.0000 - $49.9999
12¢1→12 (+11)
open →
21h agoKalshi
HYPE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $45.0000 - $49.9999
12¢1→12 (+11)
open →
8h agoKalshi
HYPE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $45.0000 - $49.9999
1¢12→1 (-11)
open →
7h agoKalshi
XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?: $1.2500 - $1.4999
23¢13→23 (+10)
open →
22h agoKalshi
Will DOGE trimmed mean be above $0.13 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?: Above $0.13
5¢15→5 (-10)
open →
7h agoKalshi
XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?: $1.0000 - $1.2499
45¢35→45 (+10)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 23 Aug 2026 21:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=crypto →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=crypto →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →