Will Dutch Bros Monthly Foot Traffic for August 2026 be above 110

30-day trend

Analysis

This market estimates a 51% probability that Dutch Bros will achieve monthly foot traffic above 110 in August 2026, based on aggregated contract prices from Kalshi. The prediction reflects uncertainty about whether the coffee chain's customer visits will exceed this threshold during the month. Key drivers include Dutch Bros' historical traffic patterns, any seasonal fluctuations typical in August, and recent comparable store performance. The market shows relatively tight clustering across thresholds (100-108), suggesting traders view outcomes in the 100-110 range as most likely. Resolution depends on Dutch Bros' official reporting of August foot traffic metrics, which would typically be disclosed in quarterly earnings or specific traffic reports following month-end. Low trading volume across all contracts indicates limited recent market activity and potentially wider uncertainty bands than prices alone suggest.

• ›Dutch Bros' reported foot traffic for July 2026 and prior months provides a baseline for assessing whether August would exceed 110
• ›Seasonal traffic patterns in coffee retail, particularly August weather and consumer behavior trends, would influence whether this threshold is reached
• ›The clustering of contract prices (52¢ for the 102-106 range, 47¢ for 108) indicates market consensus centers near 100-108, making 110 a marginal outcome
• ›Zero trading volume in the past 24 hours suggests limited recent conviction or new information flowing into these prices
• ›The specific threshold of 110 sits only marginally above the 104-106 range where traders show 52¢ confidence, indicating this represents an incremental, not dramatic, performance level

What moved the line

• Aug 25Above 100↓89pp92→3¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 25Above 102↓86pp89→3¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 25Above 104↓79pp82→3¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 25Above 106↓72pp75→3¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 25Above 108↓57pp60→3¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds