Will The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 48% across 9 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
48%
9 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
9 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
236 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 9 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Hï Ibiza be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Hï Ibiza be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Hï Ibiza
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-HII
Cluster 2
Will GREENVALLEY be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will GREENVALLEY be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: GREENVALLEY
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-GRE
Cluster 3
Will Ushuaïa Ibiza be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Ushuaïa Ibiza be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Ushuaïa Ibiza
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-USH
Cluster 4
Will The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Cluster 5
Will Echostage be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Echostage be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Echostage
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-ECH
Cluster 6
Will Savaya be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Savaya be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Savaya
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-SAV
Cluster 7
Will Bootshaus be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Bootshaus be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Bootshaus
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-BOO
Cluster 8
Will Laroc Club be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Laroc Club be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Laroc Club
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-LAR
Cluster 9
Will Illuzion Phuket be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs
Will Illuzion Phuket be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?: Illuzion Phuket
KXRANKLISTDJMAGCLUBS-26DEC-ILL
Analysis
The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield has a 48% probability of ranking in DJ Mag's Top 100 Clubs list, based on aggregated predictions from Kalshi contracts. This venue, located in Manchester, is a prominent electronic music venue with an established reputation. The probability reflects uncertainty about whether it will meet the publication's selection criteria, which typically emphasize international recognition, consistent programming, and cultural impact. Key drivers include the venue's current club programming quality, international artist bookings, and how it compares to other major venues globally being considered for ranking. The main resolution point occurs when DJ Mag publishes its annual Top 100 Clubs rankings, typically released in the second half of the year, which will definitively show whether the venue appears in the top five or lower on the list.
- ›The venue's track record of securing headline electronic and house music acts versus competing clubs in Europe and globally
- ›DJ Mag's ranking methodology, which prioritizes venues based on cultural influence, artist caliber, and international reputation in electronic music
- ›Recent attendance figures and capacity utilization data for Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield relative to other ranked venues
- ›The timing and quality of major events or residencies scheduled at the venue before the DJ Mag rankings publication date
- ›Competitive positioning against other Manchester venues and established top-ranking clubs in Europe that may be considered for higher placement
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.